Context Matters – Country-Specific Politico-Economic Analyses, Conflict and Crisis Potentials, as well as Global and Regional Trends


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    The realisation of the Sustainable Development Goals needs to be based on comprehensive knowledge of the specific contexts at various levels from the global to the local level. The three components of Context Matters provide annual information on actors and governance structures as well as on conflict potentials in the partner countries of German development cooperation. Important regional and global trends (trend analysis) for development cooperation are analysed with a comparative area perspective complementing these country analyses.
    BMZ, 2019-2022



    Head

    Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach

    Lead Research Fellow / Editor GIGA Focus Latin America Editor GIGA Focus Global


    Research Questions

    · What country specific politico-economic trends impact the success of development cooperation? What actors promoting or inhibiting reforms can be identified?

    · What potential do conflicts have to escalate violently? What peacebuilding strategies can be supported by external actors?

    · What are important political, social, and economic regional trends influence development cooperation in the Global South?

    Contribution to International Research

    International development cooperation can only achieve the self-imposed goals and those of the sustainable development agenda (Agenda 2013, SDGs) if the possible effects of regional and global trends are recognized and incorporated at an early stage and the different measures are based on a solid knowledge of the country-specific developments based on the characteristics of the political system (including development orientation, legitimacy, social reform and blockade forces) as well as the existing conflict, crisis and escalation potential.

    Research Design and Methods

    During the project cycle the project analyses historical, socio-economic, ecological, cultural developments in up to 100 partner countries of German development cooperation using a comparative frame. It also evaluates the potential for conflict escalation in around 90 countries in the Global South.

    The identification of regional and global development trends feed into the updating of the comparative frames and provide academic input for strategic development tools.

    Preliminary Findings

    The first trend analysis will focus on the need to assess regional developments that can either cause favourable or prohibiting environments for peacebuilding promotion.


    GIGA Working Papers | 09/2022

    Sustaining Civic Space in Times of COVID-19: Global Trends

    How has the COVID-19 pandemic impacted civic space worldwide? Contrary to mainstream assumptions of “shrinking space,” analysis of five world regions in the Global South and non-OECD Europe and the Caucasus shows that civil society actors have, in fact, often still been able to sustain civic space.

    Infographic | 08/2022

    Regional Neighbourhoods Matter for Peacebuilding

    Neighbours, regional organisations and networks of different actors play an important role for conflict dynamics. They can either promote peacebuilding or the prolongation and escalation of violent conflicts. The infographic illustrates this.

    GIGA Focus Global | 3/2022

    COVID-19 and Violent Actors in the Global South: A Complex Relationship

    A cross-regional comparative analysis of the effects of COVID-19 on violence shows high levels of variation between contexts and in terms of specific armed actors. While Latin America along with the Middle East and North Africa have experienced an overall reduction, violence in sub-Saharan Africa has increased.

    Infographic | 08/2022

    Do COVID-related Legal Measures Shrink Civic Space?

    How COVID-related measures have changed the civil society space is illustrated in this infographic. The trend analysis was produced as part of the project "Context Matters - Country-Specific Politico-Economic Analyses, Conflict and Crisis Potentials, as well as Global and Regional Trends", funded by BMZ.

    GIGA Working Papers | 05/2022

    COVID-19 and Violent Actors in the Global South: An Inter- and Cross-Regional Comparison

    What effect has the COVID-19 pandemic had on different armed actors across the Global South? This comparative analysis of regional trends and different armed actors provides evidence for regional specificities and an overall brief decline in violence before a return to pre-pandemic levels.

    Consultant | 25/04/2022

    For a New Social Contract. Renewing Democracy to Leave No One Behind.

    Kick-off of a Spanish initiative within the overall development framework of the Sustainable Development Goals, tprimarily under Goal 16: peace, justice and strong institutions.

    Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach

    Lead Research Fellow / Editor GIGA Focus Latin America Editor GIGA Focus Global

    Speaker, Speaker | 16/12/2021

    Gewaltakteure im Schatten der Pandemie (Lateinamerika, Naher Osten, Subsahara Afrika)

    Seminar 16/12/2021

    Dr. Julia Grauvogel

    Senior Research Fellow / Research Team Spokesperson

    Yannick Deepen

    Research Fellow

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