Context Matters – Country-Specific Politico-Economic Analyses, Conflict and Crisis Potentials, as Well as Global and Regional Trends

  • The realisation of the Sustainable Development Goals needs to be based on comprehensive knowledge of the specific contexts at various levels from the global to the local level. The three components of Context Matters provide annual information on actors and governance structures as well as on conflict potentials in the partner countries of German development cooperation. Important regional and global trends (trend analysis) for development cooperation are analysed with a comparative area perspective complementing these country analyses.
    BMZ, 2019-2022


    Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach

    Lead Research Fellow / Gesamtredaktion GIGA Focus Redaktion GIGA Focus Global


    · What country specific politico-economic trends impact the success of development cooperation? What actors promoting or inhibiting reforms can be identified?

    · What potential do conflicts have to escalate violently? What peacebuilding strategies can be supported by external actors?

    · What are important political, social, and economic regional trends influence development cooperation in the Global South?

    Beitrag zu internationaler Forschung

    International development cooperation can only achieve the self-imposed goals and those of the sustainable development agenda (Agenda 2013, SDGs) if the possible effects of regional and global trends are recognized and incorporated at an early stage and the different measures are based on a solid knowledge of the country-specific developments based on the characteristics of the political system (including development orientation, legitimacy, social reform and blockade forces) as well as the existing conflict, crisis and escalation potential.

    Forschungsdesign und Methoden

    During the project cycle the project analyses historical, socio-economic, ecological, cultural developments in up to 100 partner countries of German development cooperation using a comparative frame. It also evaluates the potential for conflict escalation in around 90 countries in the Global South.

    The identification of regional and global development trends feed into the updating of the comparative frames and provide academic input for strategic development tools.

    Vorläufige Ergebnisse

    The first trend analysis will focus on the need to assess regional developments that can either cause favourable or prohibiting environments for peacebuilding promotion.

    GIGA Working Papers | 05.2022

    COVID-19 and Violent Actors in the Global South: An Inter- and Cross-Regional Comparison

    Welchen Effekt hat die COVID-19 Pandemie auf unterschiedliche Gewaltakteure im Globalen Süden? Diese vergleichende Analyse regionaler Trends und verschiedener bewaffneter Akteure zeigt regionale Besonderheiten und einen kurzfristigen Rückgang der Gewalt, bevor sie wieder auf das präpandemische Niveau anstieg.

    GIGA Focus Afrika | 4/2022

    Happy Ever After? The Marriage Market as a Source of Societal Instability

    Junge, unverheiratete Männer gelten als Risikofaktor für die gesellschaftliche Stabilität. Die Autorin dieses GIGA Focus argumentiert, dass der Heiratsmarkt und die Ungleichgewichte zwischen den Geschlechtern auf diesem Markt wichtige Faktoren sind, um das Gewaltpotential junger Männer besser zu verstehen.


    For a New Social Contract. Renewing Democracy to Leave No One Behind.

    Kick-off of a Spanish initiative within the overall development framework of the Sustainable Development Goals, tprimarily under Goal 16: peace, justice and strong institutions.


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