Context Matters – Country-Specific Politico-Economic Analyses, Conflict and Crisis Potentials, as well as Global and Regional Trends / Phase II


  • The realisation of the Sustainable Development Goals needs to be based on comprehensive knowledge of the specific contexts at various levels from the global to the local level. The three components of Context Matters provide annual information on actors and governance structures as well as on conflict potentials in the partner countries of German development cooperation. Important regional and global trends (trend analysis) for development cooperation are analysed with a comparative area perspective complementing these country analyses.
    BMZ, 2019-2023



    Infografik | 09.2023

    How to deal with Non-state Armed Actors

    Dealing with NSAAs is complicated and complex shifting between repression and dialogue. NSAAs are highly flexibkle and able to adapt to changing local and global contexts. Policies must be comprehensive and include local communities as well as structural drivers of violence.

    Yannick Deepen

    Ehemals GIGA-Teammitglied

    Forschungsfragen

    · What country specific politico-economic trends impact the success of development cooperation? What actors promoting or inhibiting reforms can be identified?

    · What potential do conflicts have to escalate violently? What peacebuilding strategies can be supported by external actors?

    · What are important political, social, and economic regional trends influence development cooperation in the Global South?

    Beitrag zu internationaler Forschung

    International development cooperation can only achieve the self-imposed goals and those of the sustainable development agenda (Agenda 2030, SDGs) if the possible effects of regional and global trends are recognized and incorporated at an early stage and the different measures are based on a solid knowledge of the country-specific developments based on the characteristics of the political system (including development orientation, legitimacy, social reform and blockade forces) as well as the existing conflict, crisis and escalation potential.

    Forschungsdesign und Methoden

    During the project cycle the project analyses historical, socio-economic, ecological, cultural developments in up to 100 partner countries of German development cooperation using a comparative frame. It also evaluates the potential for conflict escalation in around 90 countries in the Global South.

    The identification of regional and global development trends feed into the updating of the comparative frames and provide academic input for strategic development tools.

    Vorläufige Ergebnisse

    Seven trend analysis have been published, most of them in form of a GIGA Focus, a GIGA Working Paper and an Infographic (see related content).


    GIGA Focus Lateinamerika | 1/2024

    Guatemala: A Vote for Turning the Tide

    Am 15. Januar 2024 trat Guatemalas Präsident Bernardo Arévalo sein Amt an. Mit ihm steigt die Hoffnung auf demokratische Reformen. Gleichzeitig besteht eine etablierte Elite, die die Unabhängigkeit der Justiz beeinträchtigt – weit über die Wahlen hinaus. Kann Guatemala die Trendwende schaffen?

    GIGA Working Papers | 11.2023

    Coping with Complexity: Dealing with Non-State Armed Actors

    In Kriegen oder bewaffneten Konflikten sowie in gewalttätigen Kontexten werfen nichtstaatliche bewaffnete Akteure ernsthafte Probleme für die Friedenskonsolidierung, die demokratische Staatsführung und die nachhaltige Entwicklung auf. Diese Trendanalyse bildet überregionale Entwicklungen ab.

    Yannick Deepen

    Ehemals GIGA-Teammitglied

    Infografik | 09.2023

    How to deal with Non-state Armed Actors

    Dealing with NSAAs is complicated and complex shifting between repression and dialogue. NSAAs are highly flexibkle and able to adapt to changing local and global contexts. Policies must be comprehensive and include local communities as well as structural drivers of violence.

    Yannick Deepen

    Ehemals GIGA-Teammitglied

    Video | 07.2023

    COVID-19 and Violent Actors in the Global South: An Inter- and Cross-Regional Comparison

    This trend analysis examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on state and non-state violent actors in the Global South. We provide an ACLED-based interregional mapping of trends in Latin America and the Caribbean, the Middle East and North Africa, and sub-Saharan Africa.

    Gewaltakteure im Schatten der Pandemie (Lateinamerika, Naher Osten, Subsahara Afrika)

    Seminar | 14.10.2021 - 17.01.2022

    Gewaltakteure im Schatten der Pandemie (Lateinamerika, Naher Osten, Subsahara Afrika)

    Vorlesungsreihe zur Friedensbildung, ZFW Uni Hamburg, Hamburg Organisation: Universität Hamburg Dr. Julia Grauvogel (Vortragende:r), Yannick Deepen (Vortragende:r)

    Yannick Deepen

    Ehemals GIGA-Teammitglied

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