Context Matters - Country-Specific Politico-Economic Analyses, Conflict and Crisis Potentials, as well as Global and Regional Trends

Prof. Dr. Sabine Kurtenbach
2019 - 2022
Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ)



Research Questions

  • What country specific politico-economic trends impact the success of development cooperation? What actors promoting or inhibiting reforms can be identified?
  • What potential do conflicts have to escalate violently? What peacebuilding strategies can be supported by external actors?
  • What are important political, social, and economic regional trends influence development cooperation in the Global South?

Contribution to International Research

International development cooperation can only achieve the self-imposed goals and those of the sustainable development agenda (Agenda 2013, SDGs) if the possible effects of regional and global trends are recognized and incorporated at an early stage and the different measures are based on a solid knowledge of the country-specific developments based on the characteristics of the political system (including development orientation, legitimacy, social reform and blockade forces) as well as the existing conflict, crisis and escalation potential.

Research Design and Methods

During the project cycle the project analyses historical, socio-economic, ecological, cultural developments in up to 100 partner countries of German development cooperation using a comparative frame. It also evaluates the potential for conflict escalation in around 90 countries in the Global South. The identification of regional and global development trends feed into the updating of the comparative frames and provide academic input for strategic development tools.

Preliminary Results

The first trend analysis will focus on the need to assess regional developments that can either cause favourable or prohibiting environments for peacebuilding promotion.

Strategic Analyses