Australia and New Zealand (NZ) have in recent years been at the forefront of the growing confrontation between the ‘West’ and China. Despite very close economic ties with China, both countries have substantially changed their approaches to dealing with the People’s Republic. This research project contributes to and seeks to advance relevant academic as well as policy-oriented debates on the topic.
Three core research questions guide this project:
- Why and how have the two Australasian allies adjusted their China policies?
- How have Australia and NZ, the two traditional regional powers in the South Pacific, reacted to China's increased presence in the region?
- To what extent have Australia and NZ's China and Pacific policies differed across the two country contexts and over time?
The research project is the first to examine in depth and from a comparative perspective the recent resets of China and Pacific-related policies in Australia and NZ. It contributes to extant and emerging debates in area studies and foreign policy analysis.
The project is based on an intra-regional comparison and makes use of outcome-explaining process tracing in two cases as well as semi-structured elite and expert interviews in NZ conducted in 2019 and 2020.
In a number of publications I took stock of and compared the Australian and NZ recalibrations of China-related policy as well as their policies towards the (South) Pacific. Australian federal state actors first embarked on a major ‘reset’ of China policy, culminating in legislation on espionage and foreign interference in 2018. After a change in government, state authorities in NZ appeared to follow Australia’s lead. However, NZ’s adjustment of China policy has been less straight-forward, more contested and overall more ambiguous. Small-state theories partly explain NZ’s more ambivalent approach. A more comprehensive understanding can be gained by reference to how NZ differs from its Tasman neighbour in terms of strategic outlook, including the paramount importance accorded to trade in its foreign affairs.
A subsequent comparative analysis of Australia and New NZ's Pacific policies revealed that two allies' recent signature Pacific policy initiatives were aligned, reflecting shared concerns about China's growing regional presence. Yet, Australia and NZ's Pacific policies continue to diverge to some extent in the areas of security, migration and climate change policy. These divergences reflect differences between Australia and NZ in terms of geographical settings (and connected different sub-regional foci), military capabilities and alliance obligations as well as in terms of policy pathways and domestic politics.