German Institute for Global and Area Studies | Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien

German Institute for Global and Area Studies | Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien

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Impact of Sanctions on Senders Countries’ Enterprises – the Case of the Russian–Ukraine Military Conflict

  • The goal of this project is to assess the short- and mid-term economic consequences of EU and US sanctions imposed on Russia on companies from sanctions sender countries. Knowing how and why economic sanctions affect firms’ behavior is key to understanding the impact that sanctions will have - both for good and for ill – for senders’ countries’ economies and sanctions’ effectiveness.

    Team

    Dr. Julia Grauvogel

    Senior Research Fellow / Sprecherin Forschungsteam

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Bryan Early

    Georgia State University

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Keith Preble

    University of Miami

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Justyna Światowiec-Szczepańska

    Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Paulina Pospieszna

    Uniwersytet im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu

    Kooperationspartner

    Koordinator:in

    Prof. Dr. Beata Stępień

    Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu

    Forschungsfragen

    The goal of this project is to assess the short- and mid-term economic consequences of EU and US sanctions imposed on Russia on companies from sanctions’ sender countries, what in particular will result in:
    1. finding out the nature and strength of public pressure on the companies’ approach (compliance/over compliance/avoidance etc.) to sanctions;
    2. discovering the motives and scale of avoidance/voluntary extension of sanctions by companies operating in Russia and originating from sanctions sending countries;
    3. evaluating the extent and nature of strategic changes in firms resulting from the enforcement of sanctions


    Beitrag zu internationaler Forschung

    Knowing how and why economic sanctions affect firms’ behavior is key to understanding the impact that sanctions will have - both for good and for ill – for senders’ countries’ economies and sanctions effectiveness. If sanctions impose significant economic costs on their targets, they are more likely to be successful. Gaining voluntary adherence from firms for sanctions regimes could increase the severity of their impact and potentially affect targets in ways other than intended. On the one hand, “over-compliance” or “self-sanctioning” behavior could make sanctioning efforts more likely to be successful. On the other, firms’ decisions to withdraw their services from sanctioned countries can have enormously adverse humanitarian effects in the target countries. How firms respond to sanctions is thus crucial to understanding their effects.

    Forschungsdesign und Methoden

    The research will be carried out using the following techniques and tools:
    • E-survey targeting citizens of sanctioning countries - global coverage, use of consumer research platforms;
    • E-survey targeting companies from selected survey countries (Poland, Germany, USA) with economic involvement in Russia and Belarus (subsidiaries, trade, supplies, etc.)
    Once the survey company provides the data from the questionnaire, the team will employ a combination of descriptive and inferential statistics to analyze the results. The analysis will first seek to identify patterns in the responses between individuals within and across the three countries of our study using univariate and bivariate methods examining frequency distributions and measures of central tendency for individual characteristics and responses. We will also employ cross-tabulations of pairs of variables via visualizations (bar graphs, pie charts) or contingency tables. These methods of analysis provide the basis for refining and developing additional hypotheses that can then be tested using more complex inferential statistics.

    Projektbezogene Publikationen

    European Journal On Criminal Policy and Research | 03.2024

    The Impact of External Pressure on Companies’ Responses to Sanctions – an International Comparative Study

    Our study argues that different types of external pressure, such as public shaming, the nature of companies’ business relationships, and the legal-regulatory environments affects how firms responded to the sanctions against Russia . Using results from a survey of 610 medium-sized companies in Germany, Poland, and the United States, we find support for this claim.

    Prof. Dr. Beata Stępień

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Bryan Early

    Dr. Julia Grauvogel

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Keith Preble

    Prof. Dr. Szymon Truskolaski

    Weitere Inhalte zum Thema

    Apathy, Outrage, or Action? Comparatively Analyzing Citizens’ Responses to Sanctioning Russia

    Konferenz | 03.04.2024 - 06.04.2024

    Apathy, Outrage, or Action? Comparatively Analyzing Citizens’ Responses to Sanctioning Russia

    ISA Annual Conference 2024, Hilton Hotel, San Francisco Organisation: International Studies Association Dr. Julia Grauvogel (Vortragende:r), Ass. Prof. Dr. Bryan Early (Vortragende:r)

    Western sanctions against Russia received a remarkable amount of public support. We hypothesize and demonstrate that whether citizens believe the measures to have been effective and justified explains their willingness to provide moral support (e.g. social advocacy) and/or costly support (e.g. boycotts).

    Dr. Julia Grauvogel

    Senior Research Fellow / Sprecherin Forschungsteam

    Ass. Prof. Dr. Bryan Early

    Georgia State University

    Was bringen die Russland-Sanktionen? Eine Bilanz

    Handelsblatt Today | Interview | 26.02.2024

    Was bringen die Russland-Sanktionen? Eine Bilanz

    Seit zwei Jahren sanktioniert der Westen die russische Wirtschaft, doch die wächst weiter – zumindest laut offiziellen Angaben. Was bringen die Russland-Sanktionen? 

    Dr. Julia Grauvogel

    Senior Research Fellow / Sprecherin Forschungsteam

    Expertin: Sanktionen gegen Russland zeigen Wirkung

    NDR Info | Interview | 21.02.2024

    Expertin: Sanktionen gegen Russland zeigen Wirkung

    Kurz vor dem zweiten Jahrestag des russischen Angriffs auf die Ukraine haben die EU-Mitgliedsstaaten auf ein 13. Sanktionspaket geeinigt. Erstmal verhängt die EU dabei auch Sanktionen gegen Firmen in China, die militärisches Material an Russland liefern.

    Dr. Julia Grauvogel

    Senior Research Fellow / Sprecherin Forschungsteam

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