Alexander De Juan / André Bank

The Effects of Regime Cooptation on the Geographical Distribution of Violence: Evidence from the Syrian Civil War

GIGA Working Paper, No. 222, May 2013

Abstract
Is violent opposition less likely to occur in subnational regions that have been treated preferentially by the respective country’s ruling elite? Many authoritarian regimes try to secure political support by providing critical segments of the population with privileged access to economic or political rents. This study is interested in the effects of this strategy. Our empirical analysis is based on crowdsourcing data on the number and geospatial distribution of fatalities in the Syrian civil war. We also use satellite images of the earth at night to measure spatial variations in access to electricity across Syrian subdistricts; these data are complemented with information from the last Syrian population census. Estimations of fixed‐effects logit models confirm the hypothesis that the risk of violence has been lower in subdistricts that had been favored by the ruling regime in terms of preferential access to electricity in times of power shortages.

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GIGA AutorInnen

Dr. Alexander De Juan ist Senior Research Fellow am GIGA Institut für Nahost-Studien. Zu seinen Forschungsschwerpunkten gehören die Rolle von Institutionen in innerstaatlichen Konflikten, die Entwicklung von Staaten in Kontexten von bewaffneten Konflikten und Fragilität sowie Entwicklungsinterventionen in Staaten, die von Konflikten betroffen sind.

Dr. André Bank

Komm. Direktor des GIGA Instituts für Nahost-Studien

Dr. André Bank ist Senior Research Fellow am GIGA Institut für Nahost-Studien. Seine Forschung richtet sich auf Autoritarismus, Konfliktdynamiken, Zwangsmigration sowie die Wissensproduktion in Sozialwissenschaften und Regionalstudien.

Aktuelle Publikationen der AutorInnen

André Bank / Kurt Weyland (eds.)

Authoritarian Diffusion and Cooperation: Interests vs. Ideology

London: Routledge, 2018

André Bank / Christiane Fröhlich

Zwangsmigration im globalen Süden: Die Debatte neu ausrichten

GIGA Focus Global, 03/2018

Christian von Soest / Alexander De Juan

Der Umgang mit neuen Sicherheitsbedrohungen in Afrika

GIGA Focus Afrika, 02/2018

Alexander De Juan / Michael Schiess

Brotkorb und Konfliktherd – Landinvestitionen in der Republik Sudan

GIGA Focus Nahost, 02/2018

André Bank

Comparative Area Studies and the Study of Middle East Politics after the Arab Uprisings

in: Ariel I. Ahram / Patrick Köllner / Rudra Sil (eds.), Comparative Area Studies: Methodologies Rationales and Cross-Regional Applications, New York: Oxford University Press, 2018, 119-129