Luis Leandro Schenoni

Regional Power Transitions: Lessons from the Southern Cone

GIGA Working Paper, No. 293, October 2016

Approximately four decades ago, the Southern Cone witnessed the beginning of a transition from a bipolar balance of power between Argentina and Brazil to unipolarity under Brazilian primacy. While such processes are expected to generate conflict, this particular transition was cooperative, leaving an interesting IR puzzle unresolved: Why did Argentina stop counterbalancing Brazil and opt for accommodation instead? Building on power transition theory, I use process tracing to show that key cooperative turns in this bilateral relationship – during the late 1970s and early 1990s – were possible only after social coalitions were redefined in Argentina. My conclusions suggest that cooperation between Argentina and Brazil was not a product of democracy but rather a consequence of structural changes, at both the international and the domestic level.

GIGA-Forschung zum Thema

Related Research Tabs

Störungen im E-Mail-System des GIGA: Aufgrund technischer Probleme mit dem bestehenden System bereitet das GIGA derzeit tiefgreifende Änderungen seiner E-Mail-Infrastruktur vor. Eine verzögerte Zustellung von E-Mails kann auftreten, alle eingehenden E-Mails werden aber zugestellt werden. Wir bitten für die Unannehmlichkeiten um Entschuldigung und hoffen, bald wieder ohne Einschränkungen erreichbar zu sein.